Country-level social cost of carbon
The social cost of carbon (SCC) is a commonly employed metric of the expected economic damages from carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Although useful in an optimal policy context, a world-level approach
Nature Climate Change
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Antibiotic resistance increases with local temperature
Bacteria that cause infections in humans can develop or acquire resistance to antibiotics commonly used against them. Antimicrobial resistance (in bacteria and other microbes) causes significant morbidity
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The carbon footprint of global tourism
Tourism contributes significantly to global gross domestic product, and is forecast to grow at an annual 4%, thus outpacing many other economic sectors. However, global carbon emissions related to tourism
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Forest response to rising CO2 drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land
Understanding how anthropogenic CO2 emissions will influence future precipitation is critical for sustainably managing ecosystems, particularly for drought-sensitive tropical forests. Although tropical
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Quantified, localized health benefits of accelerated carbon dioxide emissions reductions
Societal risks increase as Earth warms, and increase further for emissions trajectories accepting relatively high levels of near-term emissions while assuming future negative emissions will compensate,
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Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss
Worldwide glacier retreat and associated future runoff changes raise major concerns over the sustainability of global water resources, but global-scale assessments of glacier decline and the resulting
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From Pinot to Xinomavro in the world's future wine-growing regions
<p>Predicted impacts of climate change on crops—including yield declines and loss of conservation lands—could be mitigated by exploiting existing diversity within crops. Here we examine this
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Keeping global warming within 1.5 °C constrains emergence of aridification
<p>Aridity—the ratio of atmospheric water supply (precipitation; P) to demand (potential evapotranspiration; PET)—is projected to decrease (that is, areas will become drier) as a consequence
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Inverse relationship between present-day tropical precipitation and its sensitivity to greenhouse warming
Future changes in rainfall have serious impacts on human adaptation to climate change, but quantification of these changes is subject to large uncertainties in climate model projections. To narrow these
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Linking models of human behaviour and climate alters projected climate change
<p>Although not considered in climate models, perceived risk stemming from extreme climate events may induce behavioural changes that alter greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we link the C-ROADS climate model