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Nigeria annual flood outlook 2024

The 2024 Flood Outlook report offers a comprehensive assessment of flood risk across the country, highlighting critical areas of concern and strategic recommendations for mitigation and preparedness. Through an analysis of historical data, climate forecasts, hydrological modeling and the report identifying varying degrees of flood risk across different regions and timeframes. The report identifies high-risk areas across three distinct scenarios: April, May and June (AMJ), July, August and September (JAS) as well as October and November (ON). In the AMJ period, 25 states and 72 Local Government Areas (LGAs) are identified as high-risk areas, indicating heightened vulnerability to flooding. This vulnerability persists into the subsequent months, with 33 states and 135 LGAs identified as high-risk areas from July to September, and 19 states and 44 LGAs during October and November. These regions are characterised by erratic rainfall pa erns, river basin dynamics and inadequate hydraulic infrastructures, amplifying the potential for devastating flood impacts on communities, agriculture and infrastructures.