Global financial crisis: implications for trade and industrial restructuring in India
This study investigates the impact of global crisis shocks on India’s trade and industry. the estimated results show that show that changes in trade composition are positively associated with changes in manufacturing composition in India, controlling for other variables. However, there is no strong indication that Indian industry has been severely harmed by the fall in demand in crisis-affected advanced economies such as the United States (US), the European Union (EU), and Japan, holding other things constant. This study suggests that Indian industry has not been significantly harmed by the ongoing global crisis. Even though India continues to enjoy relatively large domestic demand, the compositional change (positive) in the manufacturing sector would decrease if the crisis continues, resulting in a slowdown in growth and a rise in stagnation.